Thursday, October 05, 2006

know about gas price history

Have you ever wondered what exactly is up with gas price history? This informative report can give you an insight into everything you've ever wanted to know about gas price history.

The following plot shows how much I paid for each gallon of gas I bought over the past 27 years or so. The data has a somewhat varied pedigree. Most of the purchases from 1979-1982 were in the Rio Vista/Fort Worth, Texas area. From late 1982-1983 was from College Station/Rio Vista about equally. From 1984-1987 was a Rio Vista/College Station/Houston mix and from 1987 on has been mostly Houston with a little Fort Worth thrown in. Just about everything pre-1984 was full service and everything since has been self-serve. Every tank shown was "super" unleaded (92-93 octane).

You can see that there's practical value in learning more about gas price history. Can you think of ways to apply what's been covered so far?

Three curves are shown on the plot. The upper, black curve shows the actual price paid for each gallon. The lower curve is the data adjusted for inflation using April, 1979 as the datum. That is, the data in this curve has been adjusted to "April 1979 dollars". The "CPI-All Urban Consumers for all items less energy" was used to adjust the data using monthly average data interpolated to the actual purchase dates. The CPI data is from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The third, faint line, shows the average price for the entire U.S., again from the BLS.

Knowing enough about gas price history to make solid, informed choices cuts down on the fear factor. If you apply what you've just learned about gas price history, you should have nothing to worry about.

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